Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Cal Poly SLO 83%, San Diego 17% at Cal Poly SLO.
Cal Poly SLO's win probability against San Diego has swung between 71% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.
Cal Poly SLO's win probability against San Diego has swung between 76% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Cal Poly SLO's win probability against San Diego has swung between 81% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 83% now.