Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Cal Poly SLO 84%, San Diego 16% at Cal Poly SLO.
Cal Poly SLO's win probability against San Diego has swung between 71% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Cal Poly SLO's win probability against San Diego is trending down — from 88% to 80% over the last 6 weeks.
Cal Poly SLO's win probability against San Diego is trending down — from 90% to 84% over the last 6 weeks.