Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Harvard 70%, Brown 30% at Brown.
Harvard's win probability against Brown has swung between 63% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Harvard's win probability against Brown has swung between 69% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Harvard's win probability against Brown is trending up — from 74% to 80% over the last 6 weeks.