Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Briar Cliff 88%, Waldorf 12% at Briar Cliff.
Briar Cliff's win probability against Waldorf has swung between 72% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
Briar Cliff's win probability against Waldorf has swung between 77% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.
Briar Cliff's win probability against Waldorf has swung between 81% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.