Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Warner U. 59%, Ave Maria 41% at Ave Maria.
Warner U.'s win probability against Ave Maria has swung between 39% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Warner U.'s win probability against Ave Maria has swung between 45% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Warner U.'s win probability against Ave Maria has swung between 52% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.