Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Austin Peay 85%, Tennessee-Martin 15% at Austin Peay.
Austin Peay's win probability against Tennessee-Martin has swung between 71% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Austin Peay's win probability against Tennessee-Martin has swung between 76% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Austin Peay's win probability against Tennessee-Martin has swung between 81% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.