Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Augustana IL 60%, Illinois Wesleyan 40% at Augustana IL.
Augustana IL's win probability against Illinois Wesleyan has swung between 30% and 48% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
Augustana IL's win probability against Illinois Wesleyan has swung between 35% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Augustana IL's win probability against Illinois Wesleyan has swung between 41% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.