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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Florida 54%, Auburn 46% at Auburn.
Florida's win probability against Auburn has swung between 51% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Florida's win probability against Auburn has swung between 57% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Florida's win probability against Auburn has swung between 63% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.