Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's FBS predictions →
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Tennessee 82%, Arkansas 18% at Arkansas.
Tennessee's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 80% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Tennessee's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 84% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.
Tennessee's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 87% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 89% now.