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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Missouri 69%, Arkansas 31% at Arkansas.
Missouri's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 44% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Missouri's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 50% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Missouri's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 56% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.