Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Georgia 90%, Arkansas 10% at Arkansas.
Georgia's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 87% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Georgia's win probability against Arkansas has swung between 90% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Georgia's win probability against Arkansas has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.