Alabama St at Arkansas-Pine Bluff Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 10.72
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Alabama St
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 
|
68
D+
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
81
B-
|
Defensive |
79
C+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Future) |
64
D
|
RANKINGS
Alabama St
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
| 103 #443 overall |
Overall | 49 #247 overall |
| 76 #393 overall |
Power | 47 #286 overall |
| 89 #441 overall |
Offensive | 32 #228 overall |
| 60 #349 overall |
Defensive | 65 #362 overall |
| 122 #425 overall |
SoS (Current) | 103 #294 overall |
| 115 #339 overall |
SoS (Future) | 114 #336 overall |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff#4973%
Alabama St#10327%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 73%, Alabama St 27% at Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 11% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 13% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 17% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff favored
Alabama St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Alabama St | Neutral | At Arkansas-Pine Bluff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 4% | 5% | 6% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 5% | 7% | 9% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 11% | 13% | 17% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 12% | 15% | 19% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 16% | 20% | 25% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 30% | 35% | 41% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
RECORDS
Alabama St
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Overall |
3-2 (60%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Alabama St
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
| #279 Southern U. | Best Win | #279 Southern U. |
| #425 Florida A&M | Worst Loss | #354 Alcorn St |
| 34 pts vs #750 Lane | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #279 Southern U. |
| 17 pts vs #160 Troy | Largest MOD | 40 pts vs #15 Missouri |
OTHER STATISTICS
Alabama St
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
| 26.5 | Points per Game | 36.4 |
| 18.3 | Points Against | 33.4 |
| 34 | Home PPG | 41 |
| 14.3 | Home PA | 35 |
| 13.5 | Away PPG | 27.5 |
| 25 | Away PA | 32 |
| 14-24 | Opponent Record | 17-16 |
| 423 | Avg Opponent Rank | 350.6 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Alabama St
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
| Oct 9 | vs Florida A&M (2-4) | L27-28 | Oct 3 | at Southern U. (3-4) | W41-10 |
| Oct 3 | at Bethune-Cookman (3-3) | L10-16 | Sep 19 | vs Central St OH (4-3) | W41-35 |
| Sep 26 | vs Mississippi Valley St (3-4) | W41-15 | Sep 12 | Alcorn St (4-3) | L51-53 |
| Sep 12 | at Troy (3-2) | L17-34 | Sep 3 | at #15 Missouri (5-1) | L14-54 |
| Sep 5 | vs Lane (0-7) | W34-0 | Aug 29 | Morehouse (1-5) | W35-15 |
| Aug 29 | Southern U. (3-4) | W30-17 |