Southern Arkansas at Arkansas-Monticello Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Arkansas-Monticello by 2.41
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's D2 predictions
RATINGS
Arkansas-Monticello
Southern Arkansas 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
72
C-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
71
C-
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
71
C-
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
71
C-
|
RANKINGS
Arkansas-Monticello
Southern Arkansas
| 114 #540 overall |
Overall | 111 #529 overall |
| 117 #434 overall |
Power | 116 #431 overall |
| 106 #418 overall |
Offensive | 116 #435 overall |
| 130 #463 overall |
Defensive | 115 #435 overall |
| 7 #230 overall |
SoS (Current) | 33 #307 overall |
| 28 #289 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 29 #292 overall |
Arkansas-Monticello#11456%Southern Arkansas#11144%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arkansas-Monticello 56%, Southern Arkansas 44% at Arkansas-Monticello.
Arkansas-Monticello's win probability against Southern Arkansas is trending up — from 20% to 43% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas-Monticello's win probability against Southern Arkansas is trending up — from 25% to 49% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas-Monticello's win probability against Southern Arkansas is trending up — from 30% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas-Monticello favored
Southern Arkansas favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Southern Arkansas | Neutral | At Arkansas-Monticello |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Wk 1 | 6% | 8% | 10% |
| Wk 2 | 8% | 10% | 13% |
| Wk 3 | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Wk 4 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 5 | 57% | 63% | 68% |
| Wk 6 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 49% | 56% |
RECORDS
Arkansas-Monticello
Southern Arkansas
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
2-6 (25%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
0-4 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-3 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Arkansas-Monticello
Southern Arkansas
| #463 Arkansas Tech | Best Win | #519 Southern Nazarene |
| #519 Southern Nazarene | Worst Loss | #470 Oklahoma Baptist |
| 3 pts vs #463 Arkansas Tech | Largest MOV | 6 pts vs #519 Southern Nazarene |
| 52 pts vs #203 Ouachita Baptist | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #203 Ouachita Baptist |
OTHER STATISTICS
Arkansas-Monticello
Southern Arkansas
| 23 | Points per Game | 21.4 |
| 39.6 | Points Against | 34.4 |
| 19.8 | Home PPG | 21.3 |
| 34.5 | Home PA | 30 |
| 26.3 | Away PPG | 21.5 |
| 44.8 | Away PA | 38.8 |
| 41-22 | Opponent Record | 32-30 |
| 301.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 364.5 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Arkansas-Monticello
Southern Arkansas
| Oct 24 | vs Harding (8-0) | L17-56 | Oct 24 | vs Ouachita Baptist (6-2) | L21-52 |
| Oct 17 | at Ouachita Baptist (6-2) | L10-62 | Oct 17 | at Arkansas Tech (3-5) | L27-37 |
| Oct 10 | vs Oklahoma Baptist (3-5) | L20-34 | Oct 10 | at SW Oklahoma St (3-4) | L18-28 |
| Oct 3 | at Southern Nazarene (2-5) | L34-40 | Oct 3 | vs NW Oklahoma St (0-8) | W30-27 |
| Sep 26 | vs Arkansas Tech (3-5) | W30-27 | Sep 26 | vs Henderson St (7-1) | L7-20 |
| Sep 19 | at Henderson St (7-1) | L24-35 | Sep 19 | at Harding (8-0) | L21-52 |
| Sep 10 | at East Central OK (6-2) | L37-42 | Sep 12 | vs Southern Nazarene (2-5) | W27-21 |
| Sep 3 | vs SE Oklahoma St (6-2) | L12-21 | Sep 3 | at Oklahoma Baptist (3-5) | L20-38 |