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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arkansas Tech 63%, Arkansas-Monticello 37% at Arkansas-Monticello.
Arkansas Tech's win probability against Arkansas-Monticello has swung between 36% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Arkansas Tech's win probability against Arkansas-Monticello has swung between 42% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Arkansas Tech's win probability against Arkansas-Monticello has swung between 48% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.