Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arkansas St 98%, West Georgia 2% at Arkansas St.
Arkansas St's win probability against West Georgia has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.
Arkansas St's win probability against West Georgia has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.