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College Football Game Simulator
Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Saturday, August 1, 2026
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CREATE YOUR MATCHUP
AR
Arkansas St
Home · Sun Belt · 7-6
Tap to change
VS
TR
Troy
Away · Sun Belt · 8-6
Tap to change
Advanced Options
Use neutral location
Randomize
Variance
0
Low (0)
Moderate
High (2)
Run Simulation
Select Team
AR
Arkansas St
Red Wolves
Sun Belt
23
45
% win prob
Home
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
TR
Troy
Trojans
Sun Belt
26
55
% win prob
Away
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 3.21
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Saturday, August 1, 2026
PRESEASON RATINGS
Arkansas St
Troy
23
Arkansas St
Simulated Score
26
Troy
70
C-
Overall
74
C
66
D
Power
72
C-
65
D
11.762
60
99
Offensive
68
D+
12.985
60
99
Arkansas St
60
99
Troy
60
99
68
D+
-14.382
60
99
Defensive
76
C
-9.727
60
99
Arkansas St
60
99
Troy
60
99
70
D+
SoS (Current)
69
D+
70
D+
SoS (Future)
69
D+
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Arkansas St
Troy
122
Overall
98
123
Power
97
136
Offensive
119
116
Defensive
81
104
SoS (Current)
106
104
SoS (Future)
106
2025-2026 RECORDS
Arkansas St
Troy
1-0
(100%)
Head to Head
0-1
(0%)
7-6
(53.8%)
Overall
8-6
(57.1%)
3-3
(50%)
Home
4-2
(66.7%)
3-2
(60%)
Away
4-3
(57.1%)
0-0
(0%)
Versus FBS Top 25
0-0
(0%)
4-3
(57.1%)
Versus > .500 Teams
2-6
(25%)
3-3
(50%)
Versus < .500 Teams
6-0
(100%)
3-2
(60%)
Last 5 Games
2-3
(40%)
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Arkansas St
Troy
#104 Georgia Southern
Best Win
#114 Texas St-San Marcos
#262 Louisiana-Monroe
Worst Loss
#122 Arkansas St
18 pts vs #343 SE Missouri St
Largest MOV
23 pts vs #262 Louisiana-Monroe
42 pts vs #159 Arkansas
Largest MOD
33 pts vs #42 Old Dominion
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Arkansas St
Troy
25.2
Points per Game
23.5
27.4
Points Against
23.9
29
Home PPG
25.3
27.2
Home PA
22.8
21
Away PPG
23.4
21.8
Away PA
25.9
78-88
Opponent Record
90-89
151.2
Avg Opponent Rank
152.3
L 4
Longest Streak
W 5
W 2
Current Streak
L 2
RECENT OPPONENTS
Arkansas St
Troy
Dec 18
Missouri St (7-6)
W 34-28
Dec 16
Jacksonville St (9-5)
L 13-17
Nov 29
at
Appalachian St (5-8)
W 30-29
Dec 5
at
James Madison (12-2)
L 14-31
Nov 20
vs
Louisiana-Lafayette (6-7)
L 30-34
Nov 29
at
Southern Miss (7-6)
W 28-18
Nov 8
vs
Southern Miss (7-6)
L 21-27
Nov 22
vs
Georgia St (1-11)
W 31-19
Nov 1
at
Troy (8-6)
W 23-10
Nov 13
at
Old Dominion (10-3)
L 0-33
Oct 25
vs
Georgia Southern (7-6)
W 34-24
Nov 1
vs
Arkansas St (7-6)
L 10-23
Oct 14
at
South Alabama (4-8)
W 15-14
Oct 25
vs
Louisiana-Lafayette (6-7)
W 35-23
Oct 4
vs
Texas St-San Marcos (7-6)
W 31-30
Oct 18
at
Louisiana-Monroe (3-9)
W 37-14
Sep 27
at
Louisiana-Monroe (3-9)
L 16-28
Oct 11
at
Texas St-San Marcos (7-6)
W 48-41
Sep 20
at
Kennesaw St (10-4)
L 21-28
Oct 4
vs
South Alabama (4-8)
W 31-24
Sep 13
vs
Iowa St (8-4)
L 16-24
Sep 20
at
Buffalo (5-7)
W 21-17
Sep 6
Arkansas (2-10)
L 14-56
Sep 13
vs
Memphis (8-5)
L 7-28
Aug 30
vs
SE Missouri St (4-8)
W 42-24
Sep 6
at
Clemson (7-6)
L 16-27
✕
vs
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