Troy at Arkansas St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Arkansas St by 11.21
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Troy
Arkansas St 
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
69
D+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
73
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
73
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
62
D-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
70
C-
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
70
C-
|
RANKINGS
Troy
Arkansas St
| 126 #254 overall |
Overall | 108 #166 overall |
| 120 #127 overall |
Power | 94 #96 overall |
| 116 #127 overall |
Offensive | 92 #95 overall |
| 118 #125 overall |
Defensive | 99 #101 overall |
| 132 #161 overall |
SoS (Current) | 127 #146 overall |
| 111 #113 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 130 #145 overall |
Arkansas St#10874%
Troy#12626%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arkansas St 74%, Troy 26% at Arkansas St.
Arkansas St's win probability against Troy is trending up — from 46% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas St's win probability against Troy is trending up — from 52% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas St's win probability against Troy is trending up — from 58% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas St favored
Troy favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Troy | Neutral | At Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 28% | 33% | 39% |
| Wk 1 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 2 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 3 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 4 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 5 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 6 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
RECORDS
Troy
Arkansas St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-3 (25%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Troy
Arkansas St
| #253 Southern Miss | Best Win | #177 Georgia St |
| #272 Louisiana-Monroe | Worst Loss | #108 Louisiana-Lafayette |
| 21 pts vs #253 Southern Miss | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #506 West Georgia |
| 27 pts vs #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #92 TCU |
OTHER STATISTICS
Troy
Arkansas St
| 22.9 | Points per Game | 28.8 |
| 24.9 | Points Against | 27.3 |
| 31.8 | Home PPG | 39 |
| 23.3 | Home PA | 27.3 |
| 11 | Away PPG | 18.5 |
| 27 | Away PA | 27.3 |
| 20-30 | Opponent Record | 26-33 |
| 228.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 210.4 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Troy
Arkansas St
| Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | L14-21 | Oct 24 | vs Georgia St (4-3) | W38-32 |
| Oct 17 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L6-33 | Oct 17 | at Southern Miss (2-5) | W23-13 |
| Oct 6 | vs Southern Miss (2-5) | W55-34 | Oct 8 | vs South Alabama (4-3) | L49-56 |
| Sep 26 | at Utah St (2-5) | L10-21 | Oct 3 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L20-23 |
| Sep 19 | at Missouri (5-2) | L17-27 | Sep 26 | vs Kennesaw St (1-6) | W17-14 |
| Sep 12 | vs Alabama St (4-3) | W34-17 | Sep 19 | at TCU (3-4) | L7-31 |
| Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W24-21 | Sep 12 | vs West Georgia (1-7) | W52-7 |