Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arkansas St 56%, South Alabama 44% at Arkansas St.
Arkansas St's win probability against South Alabama has swung between 29% and 49% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 44% now.
Arkansas St's win probability against South Alabama has swung between 34% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Arkansas St's win probability against South Alabama has swung between 40% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.