Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arizona 80%, Iowa St 20% at Arizona.
Arizona's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 23% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Arizona's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 28% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Arizona's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 33% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.