Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Arizona 63%, Iowa St 37% at Arizona.
Arizona's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 51% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
Arizona's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 57% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Arizona's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 63% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.