Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Alma 69%, Adrian 31% at Alma.
Alma's win probability against Adrian has swung between 49% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.
Alma's win probability against Adrian has swung between 56% and 79% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.
Alma's win probability against Adrian has swung between 62% and 83% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.