Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Alabama 79%, Iowa 21% at Alabama.
Alabama's win probability against Iowa has swung between 62% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Alabama's win probability against Iowa has swung between 68% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Alabama's win probability against Iowa has swung between 73% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.