Southern U. vs Alabama St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Alabama St by 7.52
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Southern U.
Alabama St 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
73
C-
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
71
C-
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
67
D+
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
76
C
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
65
D
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Current) |
74
C
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
73
C-
|
RANKINGS
Southern U.
Alabama St
| 88 #380 overall |
Overall | 85 #372 overall |
| 114 #299 overall |
Power | 91 #253 overall |
| 113 #300 overall |
Offensive | 106 #280 overall |
| 110 #297 overall |
Defensive | 77 #227 overall |
| 76 #228 overall |
SoS (Current) | 124 #403 overall |
| 83 #237 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 113 #332 overall |
Alabama St#8567%
Southern U.#8833%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Alabama St 67%, Southern U. 33% at a neutral site.
Alabama St's win probability against Southern U. is trending down — from 76% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
Alabama St's win probability against Southern U. is trending down — from 80% to 67% over the last 6 weeks.
Alabama St's win probability against Southern U. is trending down — from 84% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
Alabama St favored
Southern U. favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Southern U. | Neutral | At Alabama St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 85% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 77% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 3 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 65% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 62% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 9 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
RECORDS
Southern U.
Alabama St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Southern U.
Alabama St
| #298 Prairie View A&M | Best Win | #333 Arkansas-Pine Bluff |
| #474 Texas Southern | Worst Loss | #464 Florida A&M |
| 19 pts vs #322 Louisiana Christian | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #727 Lane |
| 71 pts vs #18 Houston | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #254 Troy |
OTHER STATISTICS
Southern U.
Alabama St
| 22.9 | Points per Game | 25.7 |
| 33.4 | Points Against | 17.9 |
| 31.3 | Home PPG | 34 |
| 29 | Home PA | 14.3 |
| 18 | Away PPG | 16 |
| 37.5 | Away PA | 21.7 |
| 41-23 | Opponent Record | 21-34 |
| 299.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 415.7 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern U.
Alabama St
| Oct 24 | at Texas Southern (2-5) | L21-24 | Oct 17 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff (4-3) | W21-15 |
| Oct 10 | at Prairie View A&M (4-5) | W28-14 | Oct 9 | vs Florida A&M (2-6) | L27-28 |
| Oct 3 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (4-3) | L10-41 | Oct 3 | at Bethune-Cookman (5-3) | L10-16 |
| Sep 26 | at Jackson St (6-2) | L17-35 | Sep 26 | vs Mississippi Valley St (3-5) | W41-15 |
| Sep 19 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | W50-31 | Sep 12 | at Troy (3-4) | L17-34 |
| Sep 12 | at #18 Houston (6-2) | L6-77 | Sep 5 | vs Lane (1-8) | W34-0 |
| Sep 5 | vs Kentucky St (7-2) | W34-15 | Aug 29 | Southern U. (3-5) | W30-17 |
| Aug 29 | Alabama St (4-3) | L17-30 |