Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Air Force 56%, Connecticut 44% at Air Force.
Air Force's win probability against Connecticut has swung between 36% and 53% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 44% now.
Air Force's win probability against Connecticut has swung between 42% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
Air Force's win probability against Connecticut has swung between 49% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.