Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Abilene Christian 73%, West Florida 27% at Abilene Christian.
Abilene Christian's win probability against West Florida has swung between 25% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against West Florida has swung between 30% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against West Florida has swung between 36% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.