Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Abilene Christian 66%, Central Arkansas 34% at Abilene Christian.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 39% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 53% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 45% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Abilene Christian's win probability against Central Arkansas has swung between 51% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.