Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Wagner 62%, Manhattan 38% at Wagner.
Wagner's win probability against Manhattan is trending down — from 52% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
Wagner's win probability against Manhattan is trending down — from 60% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
Wagner's win probability against Manhattan is trending down — from 67% to 62% over the last 6 updates.