Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Gonzaga 67%, Utah St 33% at Utah St.
Gonzaga's win probability against Utah St has swung between 60% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Gonzaga's win probability against Utah St has swung between 67% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Gonzaga's win probability against Utah St has swung between 73% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.