Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
UTRGV
McNeese St
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
UTRGV
6099
McNeese St
6099
|
||
|
85
B
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
UTRGV
6099
McNeese St
6099
|
||
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
73
C-
|
UTRGV
McNeese St
| 178 | Overall | 68 |
| 140 | Power | 95 |
| 166 | Offensive | 136 |
| 136 | Defensive | 69 |
| 250 | SoS (Current) | 243 |
| 250 | SoS (Future) | 243 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: McNeese St 60%, UTRGV 40% at UTRGV.
McNeese St's win probability against UTRGV has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
McNeese St's win probability against UTRGV has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
McNeese St's win probability against UTRGV has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At UTRGV | Neutral | At McNeese St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 3 | 78% | 84% | 90% |
| Wk 4 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 8 | 78% | 84% | 90% |
| Wk 9 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 10 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 11 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 12 | 77% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 13 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 15 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 16 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 17 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 18 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 19 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 20 | 61% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 22 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 24 | 60% | 70% | 78% |
UTRGV
McNeese St
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
17-14 (54.8%) |
Overall |
26-6 (81.3%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
12-0 (100%) |
|
8-8 (50%) |
Away |
9-5 (64.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-5 (58.3%) |
|
15-7 (68.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
19-1 (95%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
UTRGV
McNeese St
| #68 McNeese St | Best Win | #91 SF Austin |
| #318 Northwestern LA | Worst Loss | #304 Incarnate Word |
| 23 pts vs #279 Southern Utah | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #312 East Texas A&M |
| 20 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #1 Michigan |
UTRGV
McNeese St
| 73.7 | Points per Game | 76.6 |
| 70.6 | Points Against | 67.4 |
| 67.3 | Home PPG | 81.5 |
| 64.6 | Home PA | 63.6 |
| 77.8 | Away PPG | 71.9 |
| 74.8 | Away PA | 69.1 |
| 454-499 | Opponent Record | 489-513 |
| 216.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 214 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
UTRGV
McNeese St
| Mar 10 | McNeese St (26-6) | L80-84 | Mar 19 | #18 Vanderbilt (27-9) | L68-78 |
| Mar 9 | Nicholls St (13-19) | W86-68 | Mar 11 | SF Austin (26-6) | W76-59 |
| Mar 2 | vs Northwestern LA (8-22) | W74-62 | Mar 10 | UTRGV (17-14) | W84-80 |
| Feb 28 | vs East Texas A&M (9-21) | W63-55 | Mar 2 | at Nicholls St (13-19) | W75-65 |
| Feb 23 | at McNeese St (26-6) | L68-75 | Feb 28 | at New Orleans (15-18) | W66-63 |
| Feb 21 | at SE Louisiana (8-22) | W96-75 | Feb 23 | vs UTRGV (17-14) | W75-68 |
| Feb 16 | vs Lamar (10-19) | W70-65 | Feb 21 | vs TAM C. Christi (14-15) | W70-54 |
| Feb 14 | vs SF Austin (26-6) | L57-66 | Feb 16 | at Northwestern LA (8-22) | W75-64 |
| Feb 9 | at Nicholls St (13-19) | W92-72 | Feb 14 | at East Texas A&M (9-21) | W97-54 |
| Feb 7 | at New Orleans (15-18) | W95-76 | Feb 9 | vs Houston Chr (10-20) | W73-69 |
vs
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