Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Denver 64%, UT San Antonio 36% at UT San Antonio.
Denver's win probability against UT San Antonio is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
Denver's win probability against UT San Antonio has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Denver's win probability against UT San Antonio has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.