Tarleton St at UT Arlington Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
UT Arlington by 4.58
TOTAL POINTS
137
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Tarleton St
UT Arlington 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
66
D
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
93
A-
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
69
D+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Tarleton St
UT Arlington
| 235 | Overall | 155 |
| 214 | Power | 175 |
| 215 | Offensive | 311 |
| 223 | Defensive | 53 |
| 311 | SoS (Current) | 291 |
| 311 | SoS (Full Season) | 281 |
UT Arlington#15562%
Tarleton St#23538%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UT Arlington 62%, Tarleton St 38% at UT Arlington.
UT Arlington's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UT Arlington's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UT Arlington's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UT Arlington favored
Tarleton St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Tarleton St | Neutral | At UT Arlington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 51% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Tarleton St
UT Arlington
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
10-18 (35.7%) |
Overall |
16-14 (53.3%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
8-8 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-12 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-10 (33.3%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Tarleton St
UT Arlington
| #78 Cal Baptist | Best Win | #78 Cal Baptist |
| #279 Southern Utah | Worst Loss | #279 Southern Utah |
| 24 pts vs #254 Florida A&M | Largest MOV | 19 pts vs #279 Southern Utah |
| 36 pts vs #96 LSU | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #92 Utah Valley |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Tarleton St
UT Arlington
| 72.5 | Points per Game | 67.7 |
| 75.8 | Points Against | 67.8 |
| 72.8 | Home PPG | 69 |
| 72.8 | Home PA | 64.4 |
| 71.8 | Away PPG | 67 |
| 77.6 | Away PA | 70.3 |
| 437-439 | Opponent Record | 464-468 |
| 168.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 180.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tarleton St
UT Arlington
| Mar 11 | Abilene Chr (11-19) | L78-84 | Mar 13 | Utah Valley (22-10) | L65-67 |
| Mar 5 | vs UT Arlington (16-14) | L60-65 | Mar 12 | Southern Utah (7-22) | W69-63 |
| Feb 28 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L67-82 | Mar 7 | at Abilene Chr (11-19) | W64-57 |
| Feb 26 | at Utah Valley (22-10) | L72-79 | Mar 5 | at Tarleton St (10-18) | W65-60 |
| Feb 21 | vs Utah Tech (16-15) | L72-80 | Feb 26 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L56-68 |
| Feb 19 | vs Southern Utah (7-22) | W78-74 | Feb 21 | vs Utah Valley (22-10) | L54-66 |
| Feb 16 | vs Abilene Chr (11-19) | W65-62 | Feb 19 | vs Utah Tech (16-15) | W63-50 |
| Feb 14 | at Abilene Chr (11-19) | L59-73 | Feb 14 | vs Southern Utah (7-22) | L73-78 |
| Feb 7 | at Southern Utah (7-22) | W62-59 | Feb 12 | at Abilene Chr (11-19) | L63-67 |
| Feb 5 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L55-56 | Feb 7 | at Utah Valley (22-10) | L60-81 |