Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UT Arlington 68%, Abilene Chr 32% at UT Arlington.
UT Arlington's win probability against Abilene Chr is trending down — from 58% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
UT Arlington's win probability against Abilene Chr has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UT Arlington's win probability against Abilene Chr has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.