Tarleton St at USC Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
USC by 18.61
TOTAL POINTS
155
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Tarleton St
USC 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Tarleton St
USC
| 235 | Overall | 32 |
| 214 | Power | 38 |
| 215 | Offensive | 24 |
| 223 | Defensive | 85 |
| 311 | SoS (Current) | 58 |
| 311 | SoS (Full Season) | 58 |
USC#3292%
Tarleton St#2358%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: USC 92%, Tarleton St 8% at USC.
USC's win probability against Tarleton St is trending up — from 82% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
USC's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 88% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
USC's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
USC favored
Tarleton St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Tarleton St | Neutral | At USC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 85% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 84% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 82% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 83% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 83% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 83% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 85% | 88% | 92% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Tarleton St
USC
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
10-18 (35.7%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
8-7 (53.3%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
5-6 (45.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
1-7 (12.5%) |
|
3-12 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-5 (66.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Tarleton St
USC
| #78 Cal Baptist | Best Win | #22 Wisconsin |
| #279 Southern Utah | Worst Loss | #99 Oregon |
| 24 pts vs #254 Florida A&M | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #306 Manhattan |
| 36 pts vs #96 LSU | Largest MOD | 36 pts vs #10 Illinois |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Tarleton St
USC
| 72.5 | Points per Game | 77.8 |
| 75.8 | Points Against | 78.4 |
| 72.8 | Home PPG | 80.3 |
| 72.8 | Home PA | 78.3 |
| 71.8 | Away PPG | 72.8 |
| 77.6 | Away PA | 80.3 |
| 437-439 | Opponent Record | 573-470 |
| 168.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 91.7 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 8 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tarleton St
USC
| Mar 11 | Abilene Chr (11-19) | L78-84 | Mar 11 | Washington (16-17) | L79-83 |
| Mar 5 | vs UT Arlington (16-14) | L60-65 | Mar 7 | vs #24 UCLA (24-12) | L68-89 |
| Feb 28 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L67-82 | Mar 4 | at Washington (16-17) | L72-91 |
| Feb 26 | at Utah Valley (22-10) | L72-79 | Feb 28 | vs #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L67-82 |
| Feb 21 | vs Utah Tech (16-15) | L72-80 | Feb 24 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L62-81 |
| Feb 19 | vs Southern Utah (7-22) | W78-74 | Feb 21 | vs Oregon (12-20) | L70-71 |
| Feb 16 | vs Abilene Chr (11-19) | W65-62 | Feb 18 | vs #10 Illinois (28-9) | L65-101 |
| Feb 14 | at Abilene Chr (11-19) | L59-73 | Feb 11 | at Ohio St (21-13) | L82-89 |
| Feb 7 | at Southern Utah (7-22) | W62-59 | Feb 8 | at Penn St (12-20) | W77-75 |
| Feb 5 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L55-56 | Feb 3 | vs Indiana (18-14) | W81-75 |