Boise St vs USC Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Boise St by 2.07
TOTAL POINTS
158
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
USC
Boise St 
|
92
A-
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
91
A-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
92
A-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
USC
Boise St
| 65 | Overall | 53 |
| 75 | Power | 61 |
| 54 | Offensive | 70 |
| 129 | Defensive | 71 |
| 32 | SoS (Current) | 55 |
| 32 | SoS (Future) | 55 |
Boise St#5357%
USC#6543%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Boise St 57%, USC 43% at a neutral site.
Boise St's win probability against USC is trending up — from 44% to 47% over the last 6 weeks.
Boise St's win probability against USC is trending up — from 54% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
Boise St's win probability against USC has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boise St favored
USC favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At USC | Neutral | At Boise St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 24% | 32% | 42% |
| Wk 1 | 25% | 34% | 43% |
| Wk 2 | 49% | 59% | 69% |
| Wk 3 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 4 | 47% | 57% | 67% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 6 | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 7 | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 8 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 9 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 10 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 11 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 12 | 32% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 13 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 14 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 15 | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 17 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 44% | 54% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 22 | 46% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 23 | 47% | 57% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
RECORDS
USC
Boise St
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
17-14 (54.8%) |
Overall |
19-11 (63.3%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Home |
12-3 (80%) |
|
5-6 (45.5%) |
Away |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-10 (60%) |
|
10-5 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
USC
Boise St
| #22 Wisconsin | Best Win | #30 St Mary's CA |
| #99 Oregon | Worst Loss | #221 San Jose St |
| 31 pts vs #306 Manhattan | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #321 Air Force |
| 36 pts vs #10 Illinois | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #21 Utah St |
OTHER STATISTICS
USC
Boise St
| 77.8 | Points per Game | 77.4 |
| 78.4 | Points Against | 73.2 |
| 80.3 | Home PPG | 78.3 |
| 78.3 | Home PA | 70.1 |
| 72.8 | Away PPG | 78.9 |
| 80.3 | Away PA | 76.5 |
| 573-470 | Opponent Record | 557-435 |
| 91.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 102.3 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
USC
Boise St
| Mar 11 | Washington (16-17) | L79-83 | Mar 11 | San Jose St (8-24) | L74-84 |
| Mar 7 | vs #24 UCLA (24-12) | L68-89 | Mar 7 | at Colorado St (20-13) | W78-67 |
| Mar 4 | at Washington (16-17) | L72-91 | Mar 3 | vs San Diego St (22-11) | W86-77 |
| Feb 28 | vs #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L67-82 | Feb 28 | at Fresno St (12-19) | W69-53 |
| Feb 24 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L62-81 | Feb 24 | vs Wyoming (17-15) | W72-62 |
| Feb 21 | vs Oregon (12-20) | L70-71 | Feb 21 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | W84-69 |
| Feb 18 | vs #10 Illinois (28-9) | L65-101 | Feb 18 | at #21 Utah St (28-7) | L56-75 |
| Feb 11 | at Ohio St (21-13) | L82-89 | Feb 13 | vs UNLV (17-17) | L83-86 |
| Feb 8 | at Penn St (12-20) | W77-75 | Feb 7 | at New Mexico (25-12) | W91-90 |
| Feb 3 | vs Indiana (18-14) | W81-75 | Feb 3 | vs Nevada (24-13) | W91-87 |
