Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UNLV 74%, UC Davis 26% at UNLV.
UNLV's win probability against UC Davis is trending down — from 63% to 60% over the last 6 updates.
UNLV's win probability against UC Davis is trending down — from 70% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
UNLV's win probability against UC Davis has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.