Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: New Mexico 62%, UNLV 38% at UNLV.
New Mexico's win probability against UNLV has swung between 62% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.
New Mexico's win probability against UNLV has swung between 68% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 68% now.
New Mexico's win probability against UNLV has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.