Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Samford 59%, UNC Greensboro 41% at UNC Greensboro.
Samford's win probability against UNC Greensboro has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Samford's win probability against UNC Greensboro is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Samford's win probability against UNC Greensboro has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.