Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Pacific 62%, UC Davis 38% at a neutral site.
Pacific's win probability against UC Davis is trending down — from 58% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
Pacific's win probability against UC Davis has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Pacific's win probability against UC Davis has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.