Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UC Davis 68%, Incarnate Word 32% at UC Davis.
UC Davis' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 61% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
UC Davis' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 68% to 62% over the last 6 updates.
UC Davis' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 74% to 68% over the last 6 updates.