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College Basketball Game Simulator
Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
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CREATE YOUR MATCHUP
TR
Troy
Neutral · Sun Belt · 20-12
Tap to change
VS
TO
Toledo
Neutral · MAC · 17-15
Tap to change
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Variance
0
Low (0)
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High (2)
Run Simulation
Select Team
TO
Toledo
Rockets
MAC
78
55
% win prob
Neutral
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
TR
Troy
Trojans
Sun Belt
76
45
% win prob
Neutral
POINT SPREAD
Toledo by 1.87
TOTAL POINTS
154
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Toledo
Troy
78
Toledo
Simulated Score
76
Troy
84
B
Overall
86
B
84
B-
Power
81
B-
87
B
42.922
60
99
Offensive
81
B-
39.509
60
99
Toledo
60
99
Troy
60
99
75
C
-36.609
60
99
Defensive
80
B-
-35.064
60
99
Toledo
60
99
Troy
60
99
82
B-
SoS (Current)
81
B-
82
B-
SoS (Future)
81
B-
RANKINGS
Toledo
Troy
140
Overall
125
143
Power
166
117
Offensive
172
223
Defensive
176
157
SoS (Current)
171
157
SoS (Future)
171
RECORDS
Toledo
Troy
1-0
(100%)
Head to Head
0-1
(0%)
17-15
(53.1%)
Overall
20-12
(62.5%)
9-4
(69.2%)
Home
8-3
(72.7%)
5-9
(35.7%)
Away
9-7
(56.3%)
0-1
(0%)
Versus Top 25
0-1
(0%)
7-14
(33.3%)
Versus > .500 Teams
13-10
(56.5%)
10-1
(90.9%)
Versus < .500 Teams
7-2
(77.8%)
7-3
(70%)
Last 10 Games
6-4
(60%)
SUPERLATIVES
Toledo
Troy
#125 Troy
Best Win
#40 San Diego St
#197 Massachusetts
Worst Loss
#264 West Georgia
20 pts vs #214 Buffalo
Largest MOV
26 pts vs #186 Southern Miss
23 pts vs #9 Michigan St
Largest MOD
29 pts vs #15 Nebraska
OTHER STATISTICS
Toledo
Troy
79.8
Points per Game
77.3
77.4
Points Against
74.5
82.8
Home PPG
77.5
76.5
Home PA
68.7
78.5
Away PPG
79.8
79.1
Away PA
80.2
542-439
Opponent Record
515-498
178.1
Avg Opponent Rank
186.1
W 4
Longest Streak
W 5
L 1
Current Streak
L 1
RECENT OPPONENTS
Toledo
Troy
Mar 14
Akron (27-6)
L 76-79
Mar 19
(15)
Nebraska (28-7)
L 47-76
Mar 13
Massachusetts (16-16)
W 77-67
Mar 9
Ga Southern (19-16)
W 77-61
Mar 12
Bowling Green (15-14)
W 77-76
Mar 8
Southern Miss (17-16)
W 78-70
Mar 6
vs
Buffalo (15-15)
W 98-78
Feb 27
vs
ULM (2-28)
W 80-65
Mar 3
at
Miami OH (29-2)
L 72-74
Feb 24
vs
Louisiana (11-22)
W 78-59
Feb 28
at
Ohio (13-17)
W 79-67
Feb 21
at
South Alabama (19-12)
L 54-65
Feb 24
vs
N Illinois (7-21)
W 79-69
Feb 18
at
ULM (2-28)
W 77-76
Feb 21
vs
E Michigan (9-21)
W 94-75
Feb 14
at
Southern Miss (17-16)
L 65-69
Feb 14
at
Bowling Green (15-14)
L 70-80
Feb 11
at
Texas St (17-13)
L 62-74
Feb 11
at
W Michigan (9-20)
W 90-79
Feb 7
vs
Akron (27-6)
W 79-69
✕
vs
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