Arkansas St at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 1.86
TOTAL POINTS
159
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Arkansas St
Troy 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
92
A-
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
81
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Arkansas St
Troy
| 144 | Overall | 126 |
| 151 | Power | 160 |
| 70 | Offensive | 173 |
| 304 | Defensive | 170 |
| 240 | SoS (Current) | 190 |
| 237 | SoS (Full Season) | 192 |
Troy#12655%
Arkansas St#14445%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Troy 55%, Arkansas St 45% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Arkansas St has held at 42% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Arkansas St has held at 48% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Arkansas St has held at 55% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy favored
Arkansas St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Arkansas St | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 41% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 41% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 41% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 43% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 42% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 42% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 42% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 42% | 49% | 56% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Arkansas St
Troy
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
18-12 (60%) |
Overall |
20-12 (62.5%) |
|
9-4 (69.2%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
10-9 (52.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Arkansas St
Troy
| #115 N Dakota St | Best Win | #40 San Diego St |
| #311 Georgia St | Worst Loss | #264 West Georgia |
| 37 pts vs #194 Bowling Green | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #186 Southern Miss |
| 31 pts vs #60 SMU | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #15 Nebraska |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Arkansas St
Troy
| 81.8 | Points per Game | 77.3 |
| 78 | Points Against | 74.5 |
| 82.2 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 72.5 | Home PA | 68.7 |
| 81.7 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 82.4 | Away PA | 80.2 |
| 468-474 | Opponent Record | 515-498 |
| 197.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 186.1 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Arkansas St
Troy
| Mar 5 | Ga Southern (19-16) | L77-80 | Mar 19 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L47-76 |
| Feb 27 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W81-58 | Mar 9 | Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-61 |
| Feb 24 | vs Southern Miss (17-16) | W89-84 | Mar 8 | Southern Miss (17-16) | W78-70 |
| Feb 21 | at ULM (2-28) | W102-94 | Feb 27 | vs ULM (2-28) | W80-65 |
| Feb 19 | at Louisiana (11-22) | W79-62 | Feb 24 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W78-59 |
| Feb 14 | vs South Alabama (19-12) | L88-92 | Feb 21 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L54-65 |
| Feb 11 | vs ULM (2-28) | W103-70 | Feb 18 | at ULM (2-28) | W77-76 |
| Feb 7 | vs Bowling Green (15-14) | W91-54 | Feb 14 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | L65-69 |
| Feb 4 | at Coastal Car (18-13) | W70-66 | Feb 11 | at Texas St (17-13) | L62-74 |
| Jan 31 | vs Marshall (18-13) | L61-70 | Feb 7 | vs Akron (27-6) | W79-69 |