Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Seattle 63%, San Diego 37% at San Diego.
Seattle's win probability against San Diego is trending down — from 66% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Seattle's win probability against San Diego has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Seattle's win probability against San Diego has held at 76% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.