Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Alabama
Purdue
|
98
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
Alabama
6099
Purdue
6099
|
||
|
84
B
6099
|
Defensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
Alabama
6099
Purdue
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
99
A+
|
Alabama
Purdue
| 14 | Overall | 5 |
| 12 | Power | 8 |
| 1 | Offensive | 16 |
| 142 | Defensive | 20 |
| 2 | SoS (Current) | 4 |
| 2 | SoS (Future) | 4 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Purdue 66%, Alabama 34% at Purdue.
Purdue's win probability against Alabama has swung between 45% and 50% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 46% now.
Purdue's win probability against Alabama has swung between 55% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Purdue's win probability against Alabama has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Alabama | Neutral | At Purdue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 1 | 27% | 36% | 46% |
| Wk 2 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 3 | 43% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 4 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 5 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 6 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 7 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 8 | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 9 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 11 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 12 | 53% | 62% | 72% |
| Wk 13 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 14 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 15 | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 16 | 49% | 59% | 69% |
| Wk 17 | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Wk 18 | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 19 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 23 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
Alabama
Purdue
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
25-10 (71.4%) |
Overall |
30-9 (76.9%) |
|
12-3 (80%) |
Home |
12-5 (70.6%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
7-7 (50%) |
|
17-9 (65.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
17-9 (65.4%) |
|
8-1 (88.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Alabama
Purdue
| #7 St John's | Best Win | #1 Michigan |
| #83 Mississippi | Worst Loss | #58 Indiana |
| 42 pts vs #337 UT San Antonio | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #316 E Illinois |
| 23 pts vs #8 Florida | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #12 Iowa St |
Alabama
Purdue
| 91.2 | Points per Game | 81.6 |
| 82.7 | Points Against | 70.5 |
| 93.7 | Home PPG | 84.8 |
| 80.9 | Home PA | 72.7 |
| 88.8 | Away PPG | 77.7 |
| 87.1 | Away PA | 69.8 |
| 760-456 | Opponent Record | 822-521 |
| 63.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 69.2 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Alabama
Purdue
| Mar 27 | #1 Michigan (37-3) | L77-90 | Mar 28 | #2 Arizona (36-3) | L64-79 |
| Mar 22 | #20 Texas Tech (23-11) | W90-65 | Mar 26 | Texas (20-15) | W79-77 |
| Mar 20 | Hofstra (22-11) | W90-70 | Mar 22 | Miami FL (26-9) | W79-69 |
| Mar 13 | Mississippi (15-20) | L79-80 | Mar 20 | Queens NC (20-14) | W104-71 |
| Mar 7 | vs Auburn (22-16) | W96-84 | Mar 15 | #1 Michigan (37-3) | W80-72 |
| Mar 3 | at Georgia (22-11) | L88-98 | Mar 14 | #24 UCLA (24-12) | W73-66 |
| Feb 28 | at #19 Tennessee (25-12) | W71-69 | Mar 13 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | W74-58 |
| Feb 25 | vs Mississippi St (13-19) | W100-75 | Mar 12 | Northwestern (15-19) | W81-68 |
| Feb 21 | at LSU (15-17) | W90-83 | Mar 7 | vs #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L93-97 |
| Feb 18 | vs #11 Arkansas (28-9) | W117-115 | Mar 4 | at Northwestern (15-19) | W70-66 |