Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Montana St
Portland St
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
80
B-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
73
C-
6099
|
|
Montana St
6099
Portland St
6099
|
||
|
86
B
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Montana St
6099
Portland St
6099
|
||
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
70
C-
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Future) |
70
C-
|
Montana St
Portland St
| 199 | Overall | 175 |
| 145 | Power | 156 |
| 183 | Offensive | 242 |
| 127 | Defensive | 105 |
| 225 | SoS (Current) | 271 |
| 225 | SoS (Future) | 271 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Portland St 56%, Montana St 44% at Portland St.
Portland St's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 34% to 37% over the last 6 weeks.
Portland St's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 43% to 46% over the last 6 weeks.
Portland St's win probability against Montana St has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Montana St | Neutral | At Portland St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 54% | 64% |
| Wk 1 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 2 | 36% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 3 | 35% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 4 | 24% | 33% | 42% |
| Wk 5 | 26% | 34% | 44% |
| Wk 6 | 22% | 30% | 39% |
| Wk 7 | 25% | 33% | 43% |
| Wk 8 | 26% | 35% | 44% |
| Wk 9 | 26% | 34% | 44% |
| Wk 10 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 11 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 12 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 14 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 15 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 16 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 17 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 34% | 43% | 54% |
| Wk 19 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 24 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
Montana St
Portland St
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
15-14 (51.7%) |
Overall |
17-11 (60.7%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Away |
8-7 (53.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
8-6 (57.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Montana St
Portland St
| #154 St Thomas MN | Best Win | #151 Utah Tech |
| #324 Oral Roberts | Worst Loss | #255 NE Omaha |
| 21 pts vs #307 CS Sacramento | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #307 CS Sacramento |
| 15 pts vs #289 Idaho St | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #199 Montana St |
Montana St
Portland St
| 75.7 | Points per Game | 73.9 |
| 73.5 | Points Against | 71.2 |
| 79.3 | Home PPG | 73.6 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 64.6 |
| 73.4 | Away PPG | 73.5 |
| 75.1 | Away PA | 75.3 |
| 416-471 | Opponent Record | 374-475 |
| 208.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 223.3 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Montana St
Portland St
| Mar 8 | Idaho (18-15) | L74-78 | Mar 10 | Montana (15-15) | L72-75 |
| Mar 2 | at Northern Arizona (7-22) | W76-65 | Mar 8 | Idaho St (10-20) | W85-78 |
| Feb 28 | vs CS Sacramento (7-21) | W82-61 | Mar 2 | vs Weber St (14-16) | W84-60 |
| Feb 26 | vs Portland St (17-11) | W84-69 | Feb 28 | at Montana (15-15) | L68-74 |
| Feb 21 | at Idaho St (10-20) | L76-91 | Feb 26 | at Montana St (15-14) | L69-84 |
| Feb 19 | at Weber St (14-16) | L79-82 | Feb 21 | vs E Washington (13-19) | L55-67 |
| Feb 14 | at Montana (15-15) | W82-71 | Feb 19 | vs Idaho (18-15) | W77-67 |
| Feb 7 | vs E Washington (13-19) | L71-72 | Feb 14 | at N Colorado (17-12) | L65-77 |
| Feb 5 | vs Idaho (18-15) | W73-66 | Feb 12 | at Northern Arizona (7-22) | W77-68 |
| Jan 31 | at Portland St (17-11) | L54-63 | Feb 7 | at CS Sacramento (7-21) | W74-73 |
vs
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