Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Pacific 70%, UC Davis 30% at Pacific.
Pacific's win probability against UC Davis has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Pacific's win probability against UC Davis is trending down — from 66% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Pacific's win probability against UC Davis has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.