Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Montana St
Oregon St
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Montana St
6099
Oregon St
6099
|
||
|
86
B
6099
|
Defensive |
86
B
6099
|
|
Montana St
6099
Oregon St
6099
|
||
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Future) |
88
B+
|
Montana St
Oregon St
| 199 | Overall | 123 |
| 145 | Power | 146 |
| 183 | Offensive | 189 |
| 127 | Defensive | 126 |
| 225 | SoS (Current) | 104 |
| 225 | SoS (Future) | 104 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Oregon St 60%, Montana St 40% at Oregon St.
Oregon St's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 37% to 40% over the last 6 weeks.
Oregon St's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 47% to 50% over the last 6 weeks.
Oregon St's win probability against Montana St is trending up — from 57% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Montana St | Neutral | At Oregon St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 72% | 79% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 2 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 3 | 28% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 4 | 16% | 23% | 31% |
| Wk 5 | 14% | 20% | 27% |
| Wk 6 | 23% | 31% | 41% |
| Wk 7 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 8 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 9 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 10 | 26% | 35% | 44% |
| Wk 11 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 12 | 31% | 40% | 50% |
| Wk 13 | 28% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 14 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 15 | 35% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 16 | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 20 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 24 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
Montana St
Oregon St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
15-14 (51.7%) |
Overall |
17-16 (51.5%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Home |
12-5 (70.6%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Away |
4-7 (36.4%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-12 (45.5%) |
|
8-6 (57.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Montana St
Oregon St
| #154 St Thomas MN | Best Win | #55 Arizona St |
| #324 Oral Roberts | Worst Loss | #296 Evansville |
| 21 pts vs #307 CS Sacramento | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #127 San Francisco |
| 15 pts vs #289 Idaho St | Largest MOD | 38 pts vs #39 Santa Clara |
Montana St
Oregon St
| 75.7 | Points per Game | 71.1 |
| 73.5 | Points Against | 74.2 |
| 79.3 | Home PPG | 72.5 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 71.6 |
| 73.4 | Away PPG | 69.3 |
| 75.1 | Away PA | 77.4 |
| 416-471 | Opponent Record | 559-494 |
| 208.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 146.2 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Montana St
Oregon St
| Mar 8 | Idaho (18-15) | L74-78 | Mar 9 | #16 Gonzaga (31-4) | L56-65 |
| Mar 2 | at Northern Arizona (7-22) | W76-65 | Mar 8 | San Francisco (16-16) | W78-77 |
| Feb 28 | vs CS Sacramento (7-21) | W82-61 | Feb 28 | at Santa Clara (25-9) | L72-93 |
| Feb 26 | vs Portland St (17-11) | W84-69 | Feb 25 | vs San Diego (10-21) | W92-82 |
| Feb 21 | at Idaho St (10-20) | L76-91 | Feb 21 | vs Pepperdine (7-23) | W83-73 |
| Feb 19 | at Weber St (14-16) | L79-82 | Feb 15 | at Seattle (19-14) | L50-60 |
| Feb 14 | at Montana (15-15) | W82-71 | Feb 12 | at San Francisco (16-16) | W90-63 |
| Feb 7 | vs E Washington (13-19) | L71-72 | Feb 7 | vs #16 Gonzaga (31-4) | L61-81 |
| Feb 5 | vs Idaho (18-15) | W73-66 | Feb 4 | vs Washington St (11-20) | W74-64 |
| Jan 31 | at Portland St (17-11) | L54-63 | Jan 31 | at San Diego (10-21) | W78-76 |
vs
College Basketball