Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Idaho St 54%, Northern Arizona 46% at Northern Arizona.
Idaho St's win probability against Northern Arizona is trending down — from 57% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
Idaho St's win probability against Northern Arizona has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Idaho St's win probability against Northern Arizona is trending down — from 70% to 67% over the last 6 updates.