Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Nevada 70%, Utah Valley 30% at Nevada.
Nevada's win probability against Utah Valley has swung between 56% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Nevada's win probability against Utah Valley has held at 64% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Nevada's win probability against Utah Valley has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.