Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Nevada 82%, Robert Morris 18% at Nevada.
Nevada's win probability against Robert Morris is trending down — from 73% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
Nevada's win probability against Robert Morris has swung between 76% and 81% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 76% now.
Nevada's win probability against Robert Morris has held at 82% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.