Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: N Colorado 63%, Weber St 37% at N Colorado.
N Colorado's win probability against Weber St is trending down — from 53% to 50% over the last 6 updates.
N Colorado's win probability against Weber St has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
N Colorado's win probability against Weber St is trending down — from 66% to 63% over the last 6 updates.