Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Montana St 64%, Montana 36% at Montana St.
Montana St's win probability against Montana is trending down — from 54% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Montana St's win probability against Montana has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Montana St's win probability against Montana is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.