Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 14), 2026-27: Montana St 72%, Cal Poly 28% at Montana St.
Montana St's win probability against Cal Poly is trending up — from 57% to 60% over the last 6 updates.
Montana St's win probability against Cal Poly is trending up — from 63% to 66% over the last 6 updates.
Montana St's win probability against Cal Poly has held at 72% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.